Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 212.919498 257.515140 313.937948 392.557228 502.736039 657.550709 9.036878e+02
2025-01-05 151.873543 198.705659 265.696398 374.418824 560.144360 898.204485 1.675801e+03
2025-01-12 126.585358 173.884133 247.086602 379.080364 641.124252 1237.845864 3.273945e+03
2025-01-19 107.765873 152.877600 226.520659 369.651233 688.435806 1567.699119 6.139484e+03
2025-01-26 101.926823 150.283819 234.555153 414.908465 885.804058 2642.548163 2.635595e+04
2025-02-02 99.935866 153.284337 252.854019 490.004225 1241.678643 5637.901560 1.125917e+07
2025-02-09 90.530541 141.460076 239.691587 486.533779 1355.764131 8206.784872 NaN
2025-02-16 83.956039 133.676256 232.864059 496.637871 1541.941668 13869.782757 NaN
2025-02-23 78.790007 127.706342 228.502441 512.025861 1784.986436 27696.598822 NaN
2025-03-02 74.798127 123.390183 226.817617 535.103217 2124.568022 78988.216185 NaN
2025-03-09 70.277442 117.406792 220.108601 539.755929 2379.914257 276574.414886 NaN
2025-03-16 64.945338 109.174510 206.684818 516.855090 2409.263680 756935.392477 NaN
2025-03-23 62.263729 106.732749 208.468859 555.898386 3152.863331 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 56.909785 98.153904 193.623156 527.251086 3204.290935 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 53.664681 93.658401 188.367032 534.813347 3761.563379 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 50.014365 87.861462 178.633449 519.426132 3993.773855 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 49.563689 89.008225 187.790575 594.094243 6510.317623 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 50.052465 92.331423 204.062225 722.341682 14494.665353 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 47.385874 87.975198 196.648931 716.297874 17361.859927 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.436373 85.117908 193.334023 733.925353 24211.151630 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.809463 82.861488 191.489768 760.952642 37657.107104 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.506122 81.253166 191.437514 801.893453 71632.450257 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.819746 78.527141 187.194111 810.206630 115856.872823 NaN NaN